Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044659 0.048692 0.052786 0.057246 0.061963 0.066794 0.072110
2025-03-09 0.037340 0.043126 0.049229 0.056116 0.063647 0.071605 0.080622
2025-03-16 0.033523 0.040722 0.048565 0.057683 0.067928 0.079023 0.091886
2025-03-23 0.030080 0.038299 0.047527 0.058541 0.071215 0.085233 0.101801
2025-03-30 0.027167 0.036150 0.046520 0.059195 0.074092 0.090875 0.111037
2025-04-06 0.024262 0.033718 0.044931 0.058952 0.075758 0.095013 0.118489
2025-04-13 0.022639 0.032676 0.044859 0.060386 0.079306 0.101280 0.128396
2025-04-20 0.020273 0.030496 0.043215 0.059759 0.080261 0.104413 0.134580
2025-04-27 0.018618 0.029087 0.042412 0.060057 0.082253 0.108722 0.142127
2025-05-04 0.017503 0.028296 0.042314 0.061173 0.085205 0.114164 0.151036
2025-05-11 0.016837 0.028055 0.042885 0.063109 0.089167 0.120844 0.161477
2025-05-18 0.014660 0.025543 0.040307 0.060841 0.087712 0.120786 0.163652
2025-05-25 0.013175 0.023940 0.038901 0.060082 0.088192 0.123175 0.168926
2025-06-01 0.011928 0.022595 0.037771 0.059628 0.089024 0.125985 0.174732
2025-06-08 0.011562 0.022559 0.038464 0.061645 0.093105 0.132939 0.185776
2025-06-15 0.010951 0.022093 0.038507 0.062746 0.095970 0.138361 0.194934
2025-06-22 0.010302 0.021515 0.038349 0.063539 0.098413 0.143246 0.203442
2025-06-29 0.009440 0.020520 0.037518 0.063339 0.099485 0.146344 0.209682
2025-07-06 0.009091 0.020357 0.037915 0.064876 0.102921 0.152534 0.219911
2025-07-13 0.008238 0.019259 0.036832 0.064232 0.103330 0.154742 0.225018
2025-07-20 0.007678 0.018629 0.036433 0.064553 0.105053 0.158673 0.232362
2025-07-27 0.007348 0.018388 0.036625 0.065731 0.107966 0.164189 0.241785
2025-08-03 0.007219 0.018508 0.037390 0.067769 0.112101 0.171363 0.253418